Cecilia Smith and Marynia Kolak
Studying the geography of health indicators in the context of socioeconomic data enables researchers to mitigate, predict, and plan for future crises. Spatial data visualization is an essential first step that facilitates the exploration of current patterns and emerging trends in public health, generating and refining hypotheses. This chapter discusses quantitative thematic maps as powerful tools for assessing and disseminating information about public health. In addition to providing a foundation for the primary types of thematic maps, this chapter reviews the key spatial literacy skills for interpreting and creating authoritative maps using public health and socioeconomic data. The authors draw on examples from the U.S. Covid Atlas, a project that visualizes COVID-19 health outcomes and community context over the course of the pandemic, to demonstrate the impact of thematic map type and choice of data classification, resolution, and scale on discerning real-world trends.
Qinyun Lin, Susan Paykin, Dylan Halpern, Aresha Martinez-Cardoso, and Marynia Kolak
Question How do the associations between structural factors and COVID-19 mortality help explain the disproportionate outcomes experienced by different racial and ethnic groups?
Findings In this cross-sectional study of 3142 counties in 50 US states and the District of Columbia, the associations between different measures of social determinants of health and COVID-19 mortality varied across racial and ethnic groups (Black or African American, Hispanic or Latinx, and non-Hispanic White populations) and different community types (rural, suburban, and urban areas).
Meaning Findings from this study suggest the need for future research that addresses health inequity and guides policies and programs by further exploring the different dimensions and regional patterns of social determinants of health.
Dylan Halpern, Qinyun Lin, Ryan Wang, Stephanie Yang, Steve Goldstein, and Marynia Kolak
COVID-19 surveillance across the United States is essential to tracking and mitigating the pandemic, but data representing cases and deaths may be impacted by attribute, spatial, and temporal uncertainties. COVID-19 case and death data are essential to understanding the pandemic and serve as key inputs for prediction models that inform policy-decisions; consistent information across datasets is critical to ensuring coherent findings. We implement an exploratory data analytic approach to characterize, synthesize, and visualize spatial-temporal dimensions of uncertainty across commonly used datasets for case and death metrics (Johns Hopkins University, the New York Times, USAFacts, and 1Point3Acres). We scrutinize data consistency to assess where and when disagreements occur, potentially indicating underlying uncertainty. We observe differences in cumulative case and death rates to highlight discrepancies and identify spatial patterns. Data are assessed using pairwise agreement (Cohen’s kappa) and agreement across all datasets (Fleiss’ kappa) to summarize changes over time. Findings suggest highest agreements between CDC, JHU, and NYT datasets. We find nine discrete type-components of information uncertainty for COVID-19 datasets reflecting various complex processes. Understanding processes and indicators of uncertainty in COVID-19 data reporting is especially relevant to public health professionals and policymakers to accurately understand and communicate information about the pandemic.
Marynia Kolak, Xun Li, Qinyun Lin, Ryan Wang, Moksha Menghaney, Stephanie Yang, Vidal Anguiano Jr
Distributed spatial infrastructures leveraging cloud computing technologies can tackle issues of disparate data sources and address the need for data-driven knowledge discovery and more sophisticated spatial analysis central to the COVID-19 pandemic. We implement a new, open source spatial middleware component (libgeoda) and system design to scale development quickly to effectively meet the need for surveilling county-level metrics in a rapidly changing pandemic landscape. We incorporate, wrangle, and analyze multiple data streams from volunteered and crowdsourced environments to leverage multiple data perspectives. We integrate explorative spatial data analysis (ESDA) and statistical hotspot standards to detect infectious disease clusters in real time, building on decades of research in GIScience and spatial statistics. We scale the computational infrastructure to provide equitable access to data and insights across the entire USA, demanding a basic but high-quality standard of ESDA techniques. Finally, we engage a research coalition and incorporate principles of user-centered design to ground the direction and design of Atlas application development.
Not every COVID-19 story fits neatly in the Atlas, so the projects below are narrative, research, and exploratory efforts to better understand the complex relationships between health, places, and people.
When COVID-19 related deaths in the US passed 100,000, the loss was described as "incalculable." Recently, the nation surpassed 500,000 deaths, a loss that is no longer just incalculable, but incomprehensible.
This visualization attempts to place this loss in space, around parks and cities you might know or remember, from trips, growing up, or daily life. Remembering and facing the price of COVID-19 is not easy, but forgetting it may cost even more.
Atlas research, insights, and data have been featured in leading national and local media outlets, including NPR, The Washington Post, Scientific American, and The Root. Find featured press coverage, op-eds, and interviews below.
NBC Meet the Press: Holiday travel busts open divided political and vaccine bubbles (November 28, 2021)
Fast Company Innovation by Design: Data Download (September 21, 2021)
USC Price Center for Social Innovation: Designing Data Platforms for Action & Influence: Lessons Learned From a Case Study of Five Data Platforms (September 2021)
Robert Wood Johnson Foundation: Better Data for Better Health: Data resources for analysis of the many factors that shape health in communities (May 19, 2021)
County Health Rankings & Roadmaps: Tracking COVID-19: Recently Updated US COVID Atlas Offers More Complete Picture of the Pandemic Experience (April 15, 2021)
STAT: Adding social determinants gives public health maps a sense of place and time (March 31, 2021)
MapBox: Notable Maps Visualizing COVID-19 and Surrounding Impacts (February 5, 2021)
NPR - All Things Considered: Coronavirus in the US -- Where the hotposts are now and where to expect new ones. (July 2, 2020)
Politico: POLITICO Nightly: Coronavirus Special Edition, “Don’t Call it a Second Wave (June 12, 2020)
Washington Post: The Health 202: The summer fight against the coronavirus will be a local one (June 1, 2020)
Politico: POLITICO Nightly: Coronavirus Special Edition, “Pelosi’s Pandemic Strategy (May 12, 2020)
Washington Post: Social distancing hasn't been as effective in stemming U.S. coronavirus deaths as policymakers hoped (May 5, 2020)
New York Times: Did New Yorkers Who Fled to Second Homes Bring the Virus? (April 10, 2020)
Washington Post: Even as deaths mount, officials see signs pandemic’s toll may not match worst fears (April 8, 2020)
Washington Post: A leading model now estimates tens of thousands fewer covid-19 deaths by summer (April 8, 2020)
CBS This Morning: How the coronavirus is impacting rural areas (April 6, 2020)
ABC News: How the coronavirus is impacting rural areas (April 6, 2020)
CBS This Morning: Surprising COVID-19 hot spots: Why coronavirus still threatens rural areas (April 4, 2020)
Daily Mail: America's hidden hotspots: Shocking maps reveal how rural areas and small communities are some of the hardest hit by coronavirus as hospitals are overwhelmed just like in New York and New Orleans (April 4, 2020)
The Root: 8 of the 10 Worst Coronavirus Hot Spots Are in the South. Apparently, Republican Governors Just Found Out About the Pandemic (April 3, 2020)
Scientific American: Map Reveals Hidden U.S. Hotspots of Coronavirus Infection (April 2, 2020)
Business Insider: New data reveals coronavirus hotspots brewing across the south, where the pandemic is set to 'hit hard' (April 2, 2020)
WGN: Small areas hit hard by COVID-19 find representation in U of C map (March 31, 2020)
Business Insider: The next wave of coronavirus outbreaks is threatening cities from New Orleans to Philadelphia, and it reveals the US is on pace for a national epidemic (March 30, 2020)
International Business Times: Coronavirus USA: Second Wave Of Outbreak In Fall Possible, Fauci Warns (March 30, 2020)
Vox: The Coronavirus May Hit Rural America Later - and Harder (March 28, 2020)
UChicago News: State-level data misses growing coronavirus hot spots in the U.S., including in the South (March 26, 2020)